The Absent Party
Exclusion of this kind is not accidental. It requires effort. Negotiating formats do not spontaneously contract; they have to be designed to exclude.
The Corridor
And yet — this is the uncomfortable part — the corridor may be the only remaining space where movement is still conceivable. Not the conference room with the microphones and the flags.
War Without Decision
Something has shifted in the way conflicts are handled, not through proclamations or strategic doctrine, but through practice that has quietly detached itself from older expectations.
2026: The Year After the Illusions
I initially believed that 2025 would be remembered as a year of decisive geopolitical rupture — a moment when history accelerated and forced choices that could no longer be deferred. It will not be remembered that way.
Rare Earth Realpolitik – Europe’s Strategic Blind Spot
Europe’s green and digital transformation rests on a comforting illusion: that a continent which controls none of the decisive materials for modern industry can still dictate the terms of its technological future.
A Deal Without the Victim – But With Spoils – Alaska Postscript 1.5
Alaska. The show. Yes, there was a press conference.
Alaska-Summit: No Deal, No Order – Just a Show
Two men meet in Alaska. One wages war. The other performs power. Both smile. Peace stays outside.
Maps Beat Mines – And Brussels Just Found Out
Strategic autonomy isn’t about flag-planting or ownership. It’s about system design. Those who shape the value chain, write the terms of trade, and enforce the technical definitions – they win.
Quick Bite – Critical Minerals: Who Sets the Standards?
Brussels loves its grand unveilings. On March 16, 2023, the European Commission rolled out the Critical Raw Materials Act with all the usual fanfare – speeches about “strategic autonomy” and “reducing dependency,” delivered in a room full of people who depend on coffee from Kenya, gas from Norway, and rare earths from… China. Fast-forward two […]
Concert of Powers – Why the World Isn’t Multipolar but Fragmented
We are not living in a multipolar world order. We are living among the ruins of its promises.